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Past war stories from others will not help you much as each Patek AD is different and times have changed a lot over just a few years. Some people still get lucky but each case is different and the vast majority are unlucky these days.
Just visit some AD(s) and tell them about the wedding, the 5196 and the 5167, and see what is possible for you at those ADs at this point in time. If outright bundling is not in the cards but they offer to put you on the list for the 5167, they should provide some idea how long it'll take and you will need to come to a view if you can trust them.
If nothing works the answer is Lange Saxonia Thin for 10k less provided you like it just as much as the 5196 and it'll be a keeper (such that you don't need to worry about the hit in the secondary market). That hit would likely be bigger in percent of MSRP for the Lange (and possibly also bigger in absolute dollar terms despite the Lange's lower MSRP).
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