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Old 24 April 2024, 12:50 AM   #1
ppierce
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AD Margins

Does anyone know what margins AD's are working with for Rolex? For example Sub No Date is $9100 ish. What are they getting that watch for?
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Old 24 April 2024, 12:54 AM   #2
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It's around a 40% profit margin historically.
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Old 24 April 2024, 12:54 AM   #3
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Why don't you go ask them?
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Old 24 April 2024, 12:56 AM   #4
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42%
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Old 24 April 2024, 01:06 AM   #5
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Remember, the wholesale cost is a gross margin, not the net margin that they pocket before income and other taxes.

They have rent, some ADs have much higher than others, some own their buildings etc. sales commissions, salaries, building maintenance, that fines crotch in the back room etc etc
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Old 24 April 2024, 01:50 AM   #6
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Not enough to offer you a discount, if that’s where you’re headed
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Old 24 April 2024, 01:53 AM   #7
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I think in the US, the ADs now pay 62% of the MSRP for wholesale, might be 63%.
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Old 24 April 2024, 01:53 AM   #8
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Chinese replica factories is making 95% of the same watch for $350, with margin.

All the YouTubers posted about amazing fakes for years for the clout.

With an extra couple days of QC, polishing, testing, can probably make the same thing for less than $1000. Remember Rolexes are majority machined.

You can also look at Tudor, if they can make pelagos titanium with margin for $4k, they can make your submariner for less than half, that’s with margin.

The rest of it is “heritage,” branding, marketing, sales, etc etc. Once you get to a certain level of product that’s mostly what it is anyway. It’s about the way it makes you feel + extra QC, not the actual assembly of materials you are buying


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Does anyone know what margins AD's are working with for Rolex? For example Sub No Date is $9100 ish. What are they getting that watch for?
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Old 24 April 2024, 02:37 AM   #9
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The percentage that has floated around this place in recent years is 38%.
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Old 24 April 2024, 04:53 AM   #10
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40% on Rolex and about 75% on other watches and jewellery
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Old 24 April 2024, 06:53 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SLWoodster View Post
Chinese replica factories is making 95% of the same watch for $350, with margin.

All the YouTubers posted about amazing fakes for years for the clout.

With an extra couple days of QC, polishing, testing, can probably make the same thing for less than $1000. Remember Rolexes are majority machined.

You can also look at Tudor, if they can make pelagos titanium with margin for $4k, they can make your submariner for less than half, that’s with margin.

The rest of it is “heritage,” branding, marketing, sales, etc etc. Once you get to a certain level of product that’s mostly what it is anyway. It’s about the way it makes you feel + extra QC, not the actual assembly of materials you are buying

But this applies to the margin that Rolex makes, not the ADs, who are Rolex’s actual customers.
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Old 24 April 2024, 07:44 AM   #12
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Not enough to offer you a discount, if that’s where you’re headed
Fabulous answer
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Old 24 April 2024, 07:58 AM   #13
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40% on Rolex and about 75% on other watches and jewellery
What I don’t understand is with such fantastic margins - ie 75%, why aren’t ADs gobbling up preorder deposits for watches like the new Omegas, Tudor’s, Cartier’s?

They still give the same ‘store enquiries only’ and ‘waitlist’ run around and essentially just say come back in a few months. Which leaves me free to shop around.

Ultimately there will be no supply issue with these watches. So in my ‘business’ mind - I would want to be grabbing deposits off every single enquiry so I have secured that business when the watches come in.

What am I missing?
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Old 24 April 2024, 07:59 AM   #14
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Does it really matter how much the crown, the AD and maybe the grey dealer make?
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Old 24 April 2024, 10:17 AM   #15
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Originally Posted by kkqd1337 View Post
What I don’t understand is with such fantastic margins - ie 75%, why aren’t ADs gobbling up preorder deposits for watches like the new Omegas, Tudor’s, Cartier’s?

They still give the same ‘store enquiries only’ and ‘waitlist’ run around and essentially just say come back in a few months. Which leaves me free to shop around.

Ultimately there will be no supply issue with these watches. So in my ‘business’ mind - I would want to be grabbing deposits off every single enquiry so I have secured that business when the watches come in.

What am I missing?
Because it's an accounting nightmare.
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Old 24 April 2024, 12:08 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kkqd1337 View Post
What I don’t understand is with such fantastic margins - ie 75%, why aren’t ADs gobbling up preorder deposits for watches like the new Omegas, Tudor’s, Cartier’s?

They still give the same ‘store enquiries only’ and ‘waitlist’ run around and essentially just say come back in a few months. Which leaves me free to shop around.

Ultimately there will be no supply issue with these watches. So in my ‘business’ mind - I would want to be grabbing deposits off every single enquiry so I have secured that business when the watches come in.

What am I missing?
The whole point of having Rolex is to drive traffic to the store. If they take your deposit you don’t have to go back until they call with your watch. If they don’t take a deposit then a buyer’s only strategy is to keep returning to the store and try to ingratiate themselves, often through other purchases. When a body steps through the doors there’s a chance they’ll buy other things. When sitting at home waiting for “the call” in response to their deposit there is zero chance they’ll see something else they might want.
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Old 24 April 2024, 12:47 PM   #17
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Does it really matter how much the crown, the AD and maybe the grey dealer make?
I agree. I've been buying watches for more than 30 years now and this question has never entered my mind.
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Old 24 April 2024, 03:34 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kkqd1337 View Post
What I don’t understand is with such fantastic margins - ie 75%, why aren’t ADs gobbling up preorder deposits for watches like the new Omegas, Tudor’s, Cartier’s?

They still give the same ‘store enquiries only’ and ‘waitlist’ run around and essentially just say come back in a few months. Which leaves me free to shop around.

Ultimately there will be no supply issue with these watches. So in my ‘business’ mind - I would want to be grabbing deposits off every single enquiry so I have secured that business when the watches come in.

What am I missing?
The reasons are …

The other brands are not in demand as much
Having Rolex helps them sell/bundle other highly profitable jewellery and watches.
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Old 24 April 2024, 09:05 PM   #19
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The thing about valuing Rolex margins inside an AD is that you would need to know their sales mix. I don't - so let's talk industry averages in US. Bear with me as it's a multi-step process.

Rolex sales are a rather small part of the AD's overall jewelry sales. All high-end watch lines contribute as little as 10% to 20% of all jewelry sales. In US, Rolex volume is gated by RUSA. Tag and other brands not as gated.

Average GPM on all jewelry sales volume before the pandemic hovered around 45% at high-end shops. Then plummeted at the outset 2020-2021, and has recovered nicely. But not north of 50%.

So if you factor the small slice Rolex provides, and its capped GPM around 40-ish%, losing an official AD status isn't all that bad financially. What it does do is lower the jeweler's profile in the WIS community.

Now consider the Tara case being discussed...and the prices some have noted for pre-owned on their website. The volume of Rolex sales is unleashed - they now control how many Rolex models they sell. The advantages (+) and tradeoffs (-) below:
- RUSA can't gate inventory (+)
- Secondary Market inventory (+)
- Cost does rise 2x (-)
- Margin is squeezed (-)

We'll see how it plays out - my guess is their raw volume rises and their GPM dips a bit.

But if they click into the online sales channel (which Rolex forbade when they were an AD) and get their prices into line with the market, they are in better shape overall as a jeweler because RUSA no longer demands shop renovations.


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Old 24 April 2024, 11:34 PM   #20
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Remember, the wholesale cost is a gross margin, not the net margin that they pocket before income and other taxes.

They have rent, some ADs have much higher than others, some own their buildings etc. sales commissions, salaries, building maintenance, that fines crotch in the back room etc etc
That fines crotch in the back room?
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Old 25 April 2024, 12:39 AM   #21
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That fines crotch in the back room?
Sorry, fine scotches LOL
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Old 25 April 2024, 12:52 AM   #22
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That fines crotch in the back room?
I was wondering too. Thought it referred to some illicit activity to help with sales...ha!
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Old 25 April 2024, 12:14 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by kkqd1337 View Post
What I don’t understand is with such fantastic margins - ie 75%, why aren’t ADs gobbling up preorder deposits for watches like the new Omegas, Tudor’s, Cartier’s?

They still give the same ‘store enquiries only’ and ‘waitlist’ run around and essentially just say come back in a few months. Which leaves me free to shop around.

Ultimately there will be no supply issue with these watches. So in my ‘business’ mind - I would want to be grabbing deposits off every single enquiry so I have secured that business when the watches come in.

What am I missing?
It simply comes down to allocation timing. I’d say nearly all Omega Tudor Cartier they will be able to get in a reasonable timeframe. But new watches are a crapshoot for them, they don’t know if they’ll get 1 or 10 in the first 6 months. If you’re an AD, how do you feel about holding onto someone’s money not knowing if you deliver the watch within a year or so? If you feel fine then that’s a bit shady, but even if you did it’s a pain in the ass. Your customers would be hounding you for the watch, and demand their deposit back after not getting the piece for a long time. Who wants to deal with that overhead.
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Old 25 April 2024, 05:38 PM   #24
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I was wondering too. Thought it referred to some illicit activity to help with sales...ha!
Some SAs have very fine crotches, however.
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Old 25 April 2024, 11:17 PM   #25
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I think it is now about 37%.
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